Well folks, it all comes down to this.
Just 30 players remain in the hunt for the FedEx Cup title, which culminates at this week’s TOUR Championship in Atlanta.
One of the most talented fields of the year will do battle for separate $10 million and $8.75 million grand prizes at East Lake Golf Club, and the high stakes are sure to produce some tension and drama. While it is possible that the winner of this week’s tournament doesn’t win the Cup itself, that has only happened twice (2008 and 2009) in the 10-year history of the postseason format.
This year, five players (Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Marc Leishman and Jon Rahm) control their own destiny in pursuit of the Cup. Everyone else in the field will need at least a little help in order to win.
The defending champion, Rory McIlroy, did not qualify for the final round of the playoffs after finishing 34/MC/58 in the first three tournaments.
Below, we rank all 30 players in the field in order of likelihood to win this week’s tournament. Their odds for taking home the TOUR Championship will be listed first, with the chances of winning the Cup listed second.
- Jordan Spieth (5/1, 7/4)
The top seed in the final is our top pick to win. No one has better odds to win both the tournament and the Cup itself, and prior success at East Lake (he won here in 2015) should give him plenty of confidence.
- Dustin Johnson (7/1, 4/1)
Like Spieth, Johnson controls his own destiny to take home the Cup. He placed 33rd a week ago at the BMW, but that was the No. 1 player in the world’s first finish outside of the top 20 over his last six starts.
- Marc Leishman (20/1, 10/1)
He’s the most recent winner on Tour, and he has back-to-back top three finishes. Leishman needs to finish in the top three to have a mathematical chance of winning the Cup.
- Rickie Fowler (8/1, 10/1)
Fowler will need some help, but has good odds to take home both top prizes in Atlanta. Last trip here resulted in a 12th place finish, but the Oklahoma State product does have one top 10 in three starts.
- Justin Rose (12/1, 15/1)
Rose is one of the most consistent players in this year’s postseason, posting a trio of top 10’s in the three events. He’s arguably the hottest man in the field after carding a 66 and 65 over the weekend at Lake Forest.
- Justin Thomas (10/1, 4/1)
Thomas is second in the Cup standings, but we’re a little doubtful of his odds to win this weekend. He struggled mightily at the BMW, posting three straight rounds in the 70s to end the week.
- Jon Rahm (10/1, 5/1)
Rahm has done enough throughout the early playoff rounds to control his own destiny at East Lake. He ranks sixth on Tour in birdies per round and that ability to throw up a really low number will help the former Sun Devil stay in contention throughout.
- Jason Day (10/1, 50/1)
Day switched caddies and looked impressive to the tune of a fourth place finish in Lake Forest, his third top 10 in his last four starts. The Aussie carries plenty of momentum into this week and will definitely contend, but he does need a lot of help in order to take home the Cup’s $10 million prize.
- Paul Casey (15/1, 50/1)
Currently 10th in the FedEx Cup standings. Lots of value at 15/1 considering his three starts in this tournament have resulted in a trio of top-5 finishes.
- Matt Kuchar (20/1, 100/1)
The odds are long for Kuchar to take home the Cup, as he’ll need a win and everyone currently ranked in the top five to place at least sixth or worse. But while the odds may be stacked against him, Kuchar is coming off a fifth place finish at the BMW. He also went to school in Atlanta and will be a fan favorite throughout the week.
- Kevin Chappell (30/1, 150/1)
- Hideki Matsuyama (20/1, 20/1)
- Brooks Koepka (18/1, 30/1)
- Webb Simpson (40/1, 150/1)
- Sergio Garcia (30/1, 250/1)
- Pat Perez (65/1, 200/1)
- Gary Woodland (50/1, 250/1)
- Patrick Cantlay (35/1, 500/1)
- Jason Dufner (80/1, 500/1)
- Adam Hadwin (125/1, 500/1)
- Daniel Berger (60/1, 150/1)
- Xander Schauffele (80/1, 500/1)
- Tony Finau (55/1, 250/1)
- Patrick Reed (33/1, 250/1)
- Charley Hoffman (50/1, 100/1)
- Brian Harman (125/1, 500/1)
- Russell Henley (100/1, 500/1)
- Jhonattan Vegas (125/1, 500/1)
- Kevin Kisner (100/1, 250/1)
- Kyle Stanley (125/1, 500/1)