Best NFL Picks for Week 17

We were literally “this close” to our first perfect week of the NFL season. After easy upset wins with the 49ers over the Jaguars and the Bengals over the Lions, the Raiders went ahead and screwed it all up in a game that had no business not being covered.

Oakland was in a position to take the lead in a tie game with less than a minute to play, punted the ball back to the Eagles, and watched them kick the game-winning field goal. At 13-10, we were still kosher, but the last play of the game was a fumble picked up by Philadelphia and raced into the end zone.

Of course. That’s the way it’s been all year for us.

The only solace is that the Eagles didn’t kick the extra point. That would have taken a surefire win and converted it to a push, then to a loss.

2017 NFL ATS Record

Week 1 Picks: 0-3-1 ATS
Week 2 Picks: 1-1-1 ATS
Week 3 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 4 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 5 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 6 Picks: 2-1 ATS
Week 7 Picks: 2-1 ATS
Week 8 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 9 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 10 Picks: 3-1 ATS
Week 11 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 12 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 13 Picks: 0-3 ATS
Week 14 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 15 Picks: 1-1-1 ATS
Week 16 Picks: 2-0-1 ATS
Overall NFL ATS Record: 20-28-4 ATS

Arizona Cardinals +10.5 at Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks need this game to save their season, but what on Earth have they done to deserve being double-digit favorites against anyone in the NFL right now? We just don’t see it. Russell Wilson still has no running game, and his defense is still banged up beyond belief. Sure, the Seahawks beat the Cowboys last week, but Dallas beat itself for sure. The Cowboys had a huge yardage advantage throughout that game, but they had to settle for six field goal attempts. The normally-reliable Dan Bailey pushed two kicks in the fourth quarter that ended any chance of the comeback, and the offense turned the ball over three times with mostly unforced errors. The Cardinals have played better ball at the end of the season than they’ve had any business playing with the combination of Blaine Gabbert and Drew Stanton under center. We think they’re winning this one in what proves to be a sendoff game for both Bruce Arians and Larry Fitzgerald.

San Francisco 49ers -3 at Los Angeles Rams – We could have gotten the Niners at +3.5 earlier in the week before it was announced that Sean Mannion was going to be starting in place of Jared Goff. More important, though, is the fact that Todd Gurley might not play at all after dominating over the course of the last three weeks to the point that he might have stolen the MVP award at the end of the year. The Niners are playing too well right now to be ignored, and we think they should have been favored in this one from the get go. The fact that Sean McVay has already stated that he doesn’t care whether the Rams finish No. 3 or No. 4 in the NFC tells us all we need to know. Jimmy Garoppolo is set to be 5-0 as San Fran’s starter going into the offseason.

Minnesota Vikings -11 vs. Chicago Bears – We hate laying double-digits all that often, but this is a spot where it just makes sense. The Vikings are trying to lock up a first-round bye in the playoffs in the 1 p.m. ET hour without having to worry about what the Saints and Panthers do in the late games, and they’re playing against a Chicago team that is completely one-dimensional. The Vikings have one of the best rush defenses in the NFL, and they aren’t going to be slowing down against Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen. As we’ve seen all season, if you can contain Howard and Cohen, you can really shut down the Bears. The Minnesota offense is playing too well to not put three touchdowns on the board, and that might be enough to cover this massive spread.

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