Best NFL Picks for Week 11

And you said it couldn’t be done! A near-perfect week of NFL picks was spoiled on Monday Night Football by the Dolphins laying an egg against Carolina. But if we can go 3-1 ATS every single week, we’ll be rolling in the dough by the end of the season.

2017 NFL ATS Record

Week 1 Picks: 0-3-1 ATS
Week 2 Picks: 1-1-1 ATS
Week 3 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 4 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 5 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 6 Picks: 2-1 ATS
Week 7 Picks: 2-1 ATS
Week 8 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 9 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 10 Picks: 3-1 ATS
Overall NFL ATS Record: 13-16-2 ATS

Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 at New York Giants – We hate laying double-digits under any circumstance in the NFL, especially on the road. However, the Giants have flat out given up, and we just don’t see any reason to think they’re going to show any more heart this week against a Kansas City team fresh off of its bye. The Chiefs badly needed to hit the reset button after three consecutive losses following a 6-0 start, and the week off and trip to the Meadowlands is just what the doctor ordered.

Houston Texans PK vs. Arizona Cardinals – Another really tough pick to make. We’ve been burned more than a few times by this Houston team, but this is a nice spot to take it. The Texans run defense has been stout this entire season, and that should keep Adrian Peterson neutralized in this game. If that’s the case, it’s going to be up to Blaine Gabbert to win the game on his own. Think about this for a second: Blaine Gabbert. On the road. Against a defense that is still one of the more ferocious in the NFL, even without its two best players. It’s hard to not like Houston to win this game straight up.

Oakland Raiders +7 vs. New England Patriots – The Patriots have spent the entire week in Mexico preparing for the high altitude of Estadio Azteca. Oakland’s best games have been ones in which Marshawn Lynch has been effective in short spurts as opposed to in long, plodding situations. This game presents an opportunity for something like 12 carries for 75 yards. Those numbers might not seem the best, but if the Raiders can establish the run against the only team in the NFL allowing five yards per carry to opposing rushers, the opportunity will be there to get the ball in the hands of Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree in space. Oakland is going to be incredibly desperate, so we can’t leave these seven points on the table.

Atlanta Falcons +3 at Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks have been favored by at least six points in 18 straight home games, but all of that is going to come to a close on Monday. The Falcons are only catching a field goal, but we think they’re winning this game outright. Who has Seattle beaten this season aside from the Rams? We’re not quite sure. Russell Wilson is constantly running for his life, and this defense was starting to get shredded before Richard Sherman tore his Achilles. Even without Devonta Freeman in the lineup, this game strikes us as a ‘W’ for the Falcons on the road.

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