If not for Grambling, I would have been perfect last week.
The Tigers actually got a game from Division II Clark and left me with egg on my face for thinking they would wipe the floor with the lower-division side. However, I was spot on with my pick of Delaware to give James Madison a test, and I nailed the over in Montana-Portland State, too.
I was very lucky with my selection of Western Illinois to cover, though. The Leathernecks were down 38-6, but they stormed back to lose 38-33 for a miracle cover—and a brutal beat for anyone who backed the Coyotes.
2017 FCS ATS Record
Week 1 Picks: —
Week 2 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 3 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 4 Picks: 3-1 ATS
Week 5 Picks: 3-1 ATS
Under 57 in Western Carolina at Wofford – The Catamounts are playing great football this season. They have one of the best offenses in the country through the first month and are averaging 7.5 yards per play.
Western Carolina has a balanced attack, being able to move the ball with the arm of Tyrie Adams or the legs of Detrez Newsome. However, this offense has not faced an FCS defense as good as Wofford’s yet. The Terrirers are giving up just 4.8 yards per play, and they haven’t had a game with more than 55 points in it yet this season.
Wofford isn’t going to light up the scoreboard. This is a team that likes to run the ball and control the clock in order to get wins. Bet on the Terriers at your own risk, though, as this team has won three of its four games by three points or less.
Furman -3 at Chattanooga – The Paladins started the season 0-3, but no one could have guessed how good the three teams that beat them were. Furman lost to Wofford by one and Elon by three before getting hammered by North Carolina State. The team has responded in a big way in recent weeks, though, destroying Colgate and East Tennessee State. Neither team is particularly good, but Furman did what it needed to do in those games.
Meanwhile, the Mocs have not been good this season. Chattanooga is 1-4, but to its credit, it has had to play some really good teams. Unfortunately, last week the Mocs completely quit on new head coach Tom Arth. They were outplayed from the start, and the team visibly quit on both offense and defense. The players know that a four-loss season means no playoffs in this conference, and they already look ready for the offseason.
To make matters worse, both of Chattanooga’s quarterbacks got hurt last week. Alejandro Bennifield and Nick Tiano both left the game with injuries, and we don’t know if either will be able to play against Furman.
Over 62 in Fordham at Lafayette – Fordham’s defense is terrible. The Rams have allowed at least 31 points in each of their five games, and that is the main reason this team is 1-4. Fordham is the third-worst defense in the country, allowing almost 500 yards of offense per game, and it will probably even struggle against Lafayette.
The Leopards shocked the rest of the Patriot League with a win over Holy Cross last week. The Crusaders were seen as the conference frontrunner, but a 10-7 win changed all that.
Lafayette has one of the worst defenses around, too. The Leopards played well on defense last week in the upset win, but they have been unable to stop Chase Edmonds during his time at Fordham. Edmonds has carried the ball 72 times for 781 yards and eight touchdowns in three previous meetings against this team, and he could have another big day.
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