The losing streak is finally over! Not only did I post my second winning mark of the season last week, I also posted my first-ever undefeated weekend, too.
My selections of Boise State, Wisconsin and UMass were right on the money and I even got an outright win with the Minutemen, who were a four-point underdog on the road against BYU.
This is the final week of the regular season for most teams, so let me try to give you winners for the second week in a row.
2017 CFB ATS Record
Week 1 Picks: —
Week 2 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 3 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 4 Picks: 3-1 ATS
Week 5 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 6 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 7 Picks: 2-3 ATS
Week 8 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 9 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 10 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 11 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 12 Picks: 3-0 ATS
Texas Tech +10 at Texas – Kliff Kingsbury and the Red Raiders have been better than you think. Texas Tech did get housed by Oklahoma, TCU and Iowa State, but it played the other teams in the Big 12 pretty tough. The school lost by just seven to Oklahoma State and Kansas State, and by 11 to West Virginia.
Meanwhile, Texas has not established its authority against anyone in conference outside of Baylor. The Longhorns did beat West Virginia and Iowa State by double digits, but the Mountaineers’ starting quarterback got injured early in their game and the Cyclones were using a quarterback who is no longer on the team.
The Longhorns have very much struggled to stop the pass. Texas is ranked outside of the Top 100 in terms of passing defense. Although some of those numbers are skewed because it plays in the Big 12, the school is still allowing 7.4 yards per throw to the opposition.
Pittsburgh +13 vs. Miami – The Panthers have posted some bad performances this season. However, this team has gotten better as the year has gone on. Pittsburgh beat Duke and Virginia, and although the Panthers didn’t beat North Carolina they almost beat Virginia Tech on the road last week.
Miami hasn’t been good at stopping the run until recently, either. The Hurricanes run defense did not look good earlier in the year against Florida State and Georgia Tech, but they did play very well against Virginia Tech and Notre Dame.
Last week, Miami fell behind by 14 points to Virginia before turning it on and pulling out the victory. This team very much plays up or down to its opponent, and I believe the ‘Canes will have one eye looking ahead to their game against Clemson. Call it a hunch, but I think Pittsburgh wins this game outright.
Over 57 in Notre Dame at Stanford – Both of these teams have very good run games and defenses that have struggled to stop the run.
Bryce Love has been great for Stanford all season. He is on pace to run for over 2,000 yards and is averaging 8.8 yards per carry. He has been the catalyst for the Cardinal offense and carved up Washington’s defense a few weeks ago.
Meanwhile, Notre Dame’s Josh Adams has seen his Heisman Trophy candidacy peter out over the last few weeks, but he is still putting up impressive numbers. Adams is averaging 7.8 yards per carry and torched most of the defenses he faced.
Stanford’s run defense has been very bad this year by its typically lofty standards. The Cardinal are allowing opponents to run for 4.7 yards per carry and have let much worse offenses than Notre Dame have their way with them.
The same can be said for ND’s run defense. Its front seven has allowed over 200 yards on the ground the last three weeks and they are sure to be banged up after facing 72 attempts from Navy last week. Love should find plenty of room to run in this game.
Think you’ve missed out on all of the great college football contests because the season is nearing its end? It’s never too late to join our NCAA Football Pick ‘Em Contests.