It took me until the end of the regular season, but I am finally back to .500 and have a chance to finish with a winning record. My second straight 3-0 week brought my overall mark to 23-23 and you would have really made some coin had you taken both my underdogs on the money line this past week.
My pick of Pittsburgh to beat Miami outright as a 13-point underdog was undoubtedly my best play of the season. The Panthers were able to do just enough on offense to beat the No. 2 team in the nation, and Malik Rosier was unable to beat Pittsburgh’s secondary with his arm.
Backing Texas Tech as a 10-point underdog against Texas proved very profitable as well. The Red Raiders came from behind to win outright with a touchdown in the closing minutes. Nic Shimonek was the hero for Texas Tech, throwing two touchdown passes on his two drives to give Texas Tech the win.
On to this week’s picks.
2017 CFB ATS Record
Week 1 Picks: —
Week 2 Picks: 1-2 ATS
Week 3 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 4 Picks: 3-1 ATS
Week 5 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 6 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 7 Picks: 2-3 ATS
Week 8 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 9 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 10 Picks: 2-2 ATS
Week 11 Picks: 1-3 ATS
Week 12 Picks: 3-0 ATS
Week 13 Picks: 3-0 ATS
Louisiana Monroe +27 at Florida State – This isn’t a play so much on the Warhawks as it is a fade of the Seminoles. Florida State is in total disarray at the moment. All the good feelings after beating Florida last week have eroded with the ongoing Jimbo Fisher saga. Will there be an interim coach for this game on Saturday?
You have to wonder how the players will respond if Fisher leaves after preaching loyalty all season. This was his worst season yet as the Seminoles head coach and seeing him take off to Texas A&M will surely rankle some feathers.
This should be a high-scoring affair. Louisiana-Monroe can’t stop anyone on defense, but Florida State’s defense has not played that well either. I think FSU will certainly get the victory in order to become bowl eligible, but this team won’t be focused considering everything else going on.
Ohio State -6.5 vs. Wisconsin – The Buckeyes know they can’t take their foot off of the gas pedal and need a big victory in order to impress the CFP selection committee. Ohio State has made a habit of this the last few seasons and crushed Wisconsin three years ago on its way to its first title under Urban Meyer.
Wisconsin surely thinks that it hasn’t been getting any respect, but the Badgers played an awful schedule and weren’t that impressive against an overrated Michigan team. The Buckeyes will be the toughest team they have faced all season and can stop the run.
Alex Hornibrook has not inspired much confidence with his passing numbers. He has thrown at least one interception in nine of Wisconsin’s 12 games this season and only threw for more than 200 yards in a game once in Big Ten play. Ohio State will make him beat it through the air and he won’t be up to the challenge.
New Mexico State -9.5 vs. South Alabama – South Alabama has been one of the strangest teams to figure out all season. The Jaguars gave conference leaders Arkansas State and Troy their lone losses in league play, but they just got blown out 52-0 by previously winless Georgia Southern two weeks ago. Joey Jones resigned two days after the blowout loss cost South Alabama a chance to get to a bowl game and the team is a rudderless ship right now.
Meanwhile, the Aggies have everything to play for. This is the last season in which they will be a part of the Sun Belt and standout quarterback Tyler Rogers will be playing his last home game as well. South Alabama has one of the worst offenses in the nation and will have a hard time keeping up with New Mexico State.
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